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18/1/2007 WW III - Understanding and Confronting the Threat

Ophir Falk

The fall of the Berlin Wall, and with it the Iron Curtain, was a historical turning point that was seen in the West as the end to a fifty-year long silent war that brought about the liberalization of peoples. In stark contrast, however, militant Muslims viewed that turning point as a direct corollary - indeed, climax - to their successful struggle against the Soviet superpower in its invasion of Afghanistan.

8/1/2007 Israel and the Iranian Nuclear Bomb: Daunting Choices

Ely Karmon

This article presents a thorough analysis of the Iranian nuclear threat, in its ideological, strategic and geopolitical dimensions. Israeli views of the threat, as well as the effectiveness of economic sanctions and military options are examined in light of possible Iranian retaliation. The Iranian threat, combined with the recent geopolitical trends and developments in the Middle East, present Israel with a burdensome decision making process vis-a-vis Iran.

24/12/2006 Al Qaeda's Threat to the UK

B.Raman

While the pro-Al Qaeda jihadi terrorist elements have the capability to strike in many West European countries, a study of their propaganda and PSYWAR would underline the UK, Denmark and the Vatican as areas of particular concern during the current Christmas/New Year holiday season.

7/12/2006 The Raging Jihad

B. Raman

While there is nothing unusual about bin Laden's periodic long spells of silence, the silence of Zawahiri is unusual. He never misses an opportunity to taunt the US over its botched-up operations. His silence on the botched-up raid on a madrasa in the Bajaur agency of Pakistan, and on the US Congressional elections and the speculation about the Iraq Study Group is intriguing.

6/12/2006 Women in terrorism: a Palestinian feminist revolution or gender oppression?

Anat Berko and Edna Erez

Since September 2000, when the insurrection the Palestinians call the “Al-Aqsa intifada ” broke out, women have played an increasingly active role in various aspects of Palestinian terrorism. The reasons usually given for the inclusion of women in terrorist activities are that they can pass unsuspected and undetected, and they attract a great deal of media attention.

2/11/2006 Why does the Islamist threat still hang over France?

Greg Geiger

France is a target of several Jihadi groups, including al-Qaida. Even through there are strong ties between France and the Arabic countries, French interests are at risk, domestically and abroad.

4/10/2006 Radicalization of the Sunni-Shi'a Divide

Ely Karmon

The war in Iraq has produced a tremendous change in the Middle East and in the Muslim world at large. For the first time in history, an Arab country is controlled by the Shi’a. The West does not grasp yet the full meaning of the Shi’a revival and the potential for deep change in many of the countries in the region. One of the important questions since 9/11 and more so since the war in Iraq is if the potential for a coalition between radical Sunni and Shi’a forces active in the region can indeed materialize.

3/10/2006 Hezbollah, a Global Terrorist Organization

Eitan Azani

Hezbollah of the year 2006 is a pragmatic terrorist organization that is well-armed, well-trained, and equipped with highly sophisticated weaponry. It is far more dangerous than the revolutionary Hezbollah of the 1980’s due to both the means at its disposal and the double faced policy it employs. In effect, Hezbollah did not abandon its goals; it just changed the pace of their implementation.

29/9/2006 Islamic Radicalism under the Cover of Political Pragmatism – The Islamic Liberation Party

Asaf Maliach

The year 2005 appeared to mark a radicalization of the Islamic Liberation Party (Hizb al-Tahrir al-Islami - HT). A review of HT's activities and its leaders' declarations showed that there was not an organizational radicalization, but rather a "deviation" by individual members or branches from al-Nabhani's stated platform of HT's leadership, which espouses the establishment of the Islamic Caliphate.

11/9/2006 Learning to digest during fighting – Real Time Knowledge Management

Gil Ariely

A great deal has been written on lessons learned from the 2006 'Second Lebanese War', and no doubt much more will be revealed, as there is still a lot to learn. However, an imperative lesson learned from years of LIC implemented throughout the war, was how to learn lessons and disseminate insights in real-time to the fighting forces. This is known as Operational Knowledge Management.
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