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12/1/2003 Countering NBC Terrorism

Ely Karmon

In order to decide upon an approach for the countering of NBC terrorism we should first evaluate the real threat presented in this field by terrorist organizations, on the short and medium term. The present analysis is based on a research led by the author at ICT in 1998-99 and summarized here.

20/12/2002 Fatah-Hamas Relations - Rapprochement or Ready to Rumble?

Gal Luft, Jonathan Schanzer

Parallel to the Palestinian armed struggle against Israel is a power struggle between Hamas and Fatah. Years of tensions have culminated in Gaza street clashes between the two organizations in recent weeks. An Egyptian-sponsored summit designed to achieve rapprochement between the two groups sputtered in Cairo last month, but talks are scheduled to resume on December 22. Against the backdrop of a floundering economy, weak public security, and a disintegrating central authority, Fatah’s attempts to rein in Hamas are crucial if the Palestinian Authority (PA) is to remain the ruling institution in the territories.

20/12/2002 The Changing Threat of International Terrorism

Boaz Ganor

Based on a Lecture delivered in August 2002 at the Sydney Institute, Australia.

12/12/2002 The War on Terror in the Shadow of the Iraq Crisis

Bruce Hoffman, Matthew Levitt, and Daniel Benjamin

On December 4, 2002, Bruce Hoffman, Daniel Benjamin, and Matthew Levitt addressed The Washington Institute’s Special Policy Forum. Hoffman is vice president of external relations at RAND and author of Inside Terrorism (Columbia University Press, 1998). Benjamin is a senior fellow at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, former director of transnational threats at the National Security Council, and coauthor of The Age of Sacred Terror (Random House, 2002). Levitt is a senior fellow in terrorism studies at the Institute and author of Targeting Terror: U.S. Policy Toward Middle Eastern State Sponsors and Terrorist Organizations, Post-September 11 (The Washington Institute, 2002).

30/11/2002 The Master-Trap from the School of the Al-Qaida Organization

Jonathan Fighel and Yoram Kehati

The following document constitutes a continuation of the document published by the author earlier, in which he noted that it was the first of a series of several documents. This document too is significant. It appears to have been written as a kind of commentary-article which seeks to clarify opinions and assessments of other educated Muslims, with whom the author is probably acquainted (perhaps as colleagues in the institute mentioned in the article) regarding the latest terror attacks and the involvement of Osama bin Ladin and Al-Qaida in them.

29/11/2002 An Engineered Tragedy - Statistical Analysis of Casualties in the Palestinian - Israeli Conflict, September 2000 - September 2002

Don Radlauer

For the last 23 months, Israel and the Palestinian Arabs have been engaged in a “low-intensity conflict” generally referred to as the “al-Aqsa Intifada”. This conflict has caused over 2,200 deaths so far; and yet, its most significant aspect seems to be the struggle for international public opinion rather than any effort at gaining a conventional military victory. New reports of death and injury appear almost daily in the world’s news media, generally accompanied by the current tally of the total number of people killed on each side. Pundits and laymen read these reports and draw conclusions from the simplistic statistics they convey.

Before many months of this conflict had passed, it became apparent to some observers that the “fatality scorecard” commonly included in coverage of the al-Aqsa conflict was painting an oversimplified and deceptive picture of a complex reality. A more thorough accounting and analysis of the conflict’s incidents and casualties should enable a better understanding of the true nature of the conflict. Accordingly, the International Policy Institute for Counter-Terrorism (ICT) launched the Al-Aqsa Casualties Database Project to provide such an accounting.

28/11/2002 Mending the Hearts of the Believers

Jonathan Fighel and Yoram Kehati

The following document, “Mending the Hearts of the Believers”, recently published on a website affiliated with al-Qaida supporters, is a very significant article. Its author is not only one of Osama bin Ladin’s supporters or admirers, but, based on his descriptions, he appears quite knowledgeable about terror activities involving the Al-Qaida Organization.

20/10/2002 Suicide Terrorism and the September 11 Attacks

Yoram Schweitzer

Reprinted from the book An Expected Surprise — The September 11th Attacks in the USA and their Ramifications Yoram Schweitzer & Shaul Shay, Mifalot, IDC & ICT Publications, August 2002.

15/10/2002 Al-Qaida’s Asian Web

Yael Shahar

For months the Indonesian government has denied allegations that al-Qaida militants were setting up shop in the country. When Singapore’s investigation into a plot to bomb Western interests pointed to the involvement of Indonesian operatives, Indonesia refused even to entertain the possibility. Now, in the wake of what is being called the worst terrorist act in Indonesian history, these denials appear not only preposterous, but criminally remiss.

15/10/2002 Algeria’s GSPC and America’s ‘War on Terror’

Jonathan Schanzer

Last week, intensified Islamist violence prompted Algerian president Abdelaziz Bouteflika to launch his military’s largest counteroffensive against radical Islamic elements in five years. The target of this ongoing operation is the Salafist Group for Preaching and Combat (GSPC), a breakaway faction of the Armed Islamic Group (GIA). GSPC deserves special attention in America’s “war on terror” for its extensive ties to al-Qaeda and its devastating effect on Algeria.

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