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1/1/2008 Kenya: So Much for Democracy

Shani Ross

Civil unrest in Kenya appears likely to increase as the opposition rejects Kibaki’s rule, which may have serious implications for intra-national conflicts prevalent in the region, Kenya could likely be the ignition for further regional bloodshed.

This article was first published in the Jerusalem Post, January 1, 2008

25/12/2007 Islamist Groups in Lebanon

Gary C. Gambill

The article examines the evolution of three distinct poles of Islamism in Lebanon and how they have adapted to changes in local political and security conditions over the past three decades.
Published with the kind permission of MERIA Journal, Volume 11, No. 4 - December 2007.

25/11/2007 Analysis: Does Syria want peace?

Ely Karmon

Against the background of Syria's invitation to the Annapolis conference and the eagerness with which politicians and the defense establishment have supported its participation, we should try to analyze the Syrian leadership's strategic considerations vis-à-vis a peace process with Israel.

14/11/2007 The Crisis of Pakistan: A Dangerously Weak State

Isaac Kfir

This paper explores several key elements undermining the viability of the Pakistani state: Islamism, tribalism, ethno-nationalism, and quasi-secularism. The demands of each of these movements are difficult to reconcile with the needs of the others. At the same time, these movements exert pressure on a very weak government and state system. Hence, the author argues that unless the current regime undertakes substantial structural reforms, Pakistan may come apart at the seams, with dire consequences for regional and international stability.

23/10/2007 The internecine struggle among Palestinian factions after Hamas’ takeover of the Gaza Strip

Diego Baliani

On 14 June 2007 Hamas took Fatah’s last stronghold and declared “victory” in the Gaza Strip, ending ten days of heavy fighting among Palestinian factions in which Hamas’ Executive Force3 overcame the security services loyal to Fatah. Hamas spokesman, Sami Abu Zuhri, heralded what he called “Gaza’s second liberation”, after Israel’s 2005 unilateral withdrawal from the coastal strip.

1/10/2007 Iran's Revolutionary Unit as a Terrorist Entity

Hillel Avihai

Iran's Revolutionary Guard and the US intention to declare it as a specially designated global terrorist organization: the end of the distinction between sub-national groups and a terrorist state?

24/9/2007 The Threat of Maritime Terrorism to Israel

Akiva J. Lorenz

The purpose of this essay is to define maritime terrorism and analyze Palestinian and Al Qaeda's maritime capabilities, focusing on the 1970s and from 2000 to 2006. Their past operations will be reviewed, new developments will be discussed, and projections will be given in order to help security services ensure a safer tomorrow.

3/9/2007 The Saudi Arabia – Israel – Iran Triangle: Can Saudi Arabia Deliver the Goods?

Ely Karmon

The Second Lebanon War (according to its official Israeli denomination), has dramatically changed the strategic landscape of the Middle East. To a large extent Israel, fighting on two fronts, was perceived by its moderate Sunni neighbors to be countering the spread of Islamist radicals, especially the pro-Iranian Shiite.

29/7/2007 Hamas: A Gun in One Hand, a Qu’ran in the Other

Isaac Kfir and Adam E. Stahl

Hamas (“Islamic Resistance Movement”) is a radical Islamist terror organization that strives to establish a shari’a-based society from the Nile to the Euphrates. The rise of Hamas has been noticeable for several years but the substantial change occurred with the local elections of December 2005, which Hamas used as a launching pad to win the January 2006 elections to the Palestinian Legislative Council.

25/7/2007 Which side is limited?

Oren Blizbau

The concept of “low intensity conflict” (LIC) - lack of relevancy in a changing Middle-Eastern geopolitical reality.
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