ATbar Security Implications of the “Arab Spring”
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Security Implications of the “Arab Spring”

11/03/2013 | by Inbar, Efraim (Prof.)  

This essay reviews the political repercussions of the events called the “Arab Spring” and focuses on the national security implications of these developments. The initial optimism in the West has been totally unwarranted and we have to prepare for strategic surprise; a greater potential for terror; more chances for miscalculation and escalation; the emergence of the East Mediterranean as an Islamic lake; for Iran determination to pursue its nuclear ambitions.  In the absence of a rising modernizing Arab elite, which is hardly expected, the deterioration in the national security predicament of this region will continue.

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