Senior Advisor to the President, RAND Corporation & Member of the Professional Advisory Board, ICT, United States
Mr. Brian M. Jenkins, senior adviser to the president at the RAND Corporation, is the author of Will Terrorists Go Nuclear (2008, Prometheus Books) and of several RAND monographs, including Unconquerable Nation: Knowing Our Enemy, Strengthening Ourselves (2006) and two 2002 reports on al Qaeda. He formerly served as chair of the Political Science Department at RAND.
A decorated combat veteran, he received the Department of the Army's highest award for his service. In 1996, President Clinton appointed Jenkins to the White House Commission on Aviation Safety and Security. From 1999 to 2000, he served as adviser to the National Commission on Terrorism and in 2000 was appointed to the U.S. Comptroller General's Advisory Board. He is a research associate at the Mineta Transportation Institute, where he directs the continuing research on protecting surface transportation against terrorist attacks.
An aggressive Russia, a divided and unsettled Europe, and a distracted and unpredictable United States have created an unprecedented and perilous confluence of events that could undermine the European security architecture and the liberal-democratic order. Ultimately, it is conceivable that the Western allies and Russia could achieve through dialogue some kind of constructive modus vivendi whereby Russia becomes a less paranoid power that respects the independence of its former empire. A long shot to begin with, such a rapprochement is less achievable if Europe and the United States appear disorganized and vulnerable.
This article was originally published by the Center for the Study of Democracy
The session was part of the ICT's 16th World Summit on Counter-Terrorism: "Unpuzzling Terrorism". Mr. Jenkins analyzed ISIS and Al Qaeda and claimed that while both organizations garner sympathy and have immense finances, neither organization can be classified as a mass movement and can be beaten over time. Given the ideology these organizations rest upon, which recruits devotion to the cause and fight, the conflict will surely continue.
To some, President Barack Obama was weak and vacillating on ISIS and homegrown terrorism, and on America’s resolve in Syria, Afghanistan and Iran. But his heavier reliance on drones and special ops raised the stakes in the war on terror in ways that could impact future administrations.
First published in the Mark News