ATbar Inbar, Efraim (Prof.)

Inbar, Efraim (Prof.)

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Security Implications of the “Arab Spring”

11/03/2013

This paper examines the political repercussions of the “Arab Spring”, focusing on its security implications for Israel. It argues that the initial optimism in the West has proven to be unwarranted, and that Israel in particular needs to prepare for strategic surprise; greater potential for terrorism; greater chances for miscalculation and escalation; the emergence of the East Mediterranean as an Islamic lake; as well as stauncher Iranian determination to pursue military nuclear capability.  In the absence of a rising liberalizing Arab elite, which is not on the horizon, we can expect a deterioration in the regional security situation.

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