ATbar Popovich, Elad

Popovich, Elad

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Psycho-Strategic Analysis of the Qaedat Al-Jihad Leadership: Past, Present and Near Future

18/07/2008

The 'Qaedat Al Jihad' organization is currently undergoing a change in leadership, from the leadership of Osama Bin Laden to the leadership of his deputy Ayman Al Zawahiri, a change which in effect has / will cause a transition in the organization's strategy. This transition in strategy is leading the organization back to Zawahiri's old outlook while prioritizing the immediate enemy: moving focus away from mainly attacking the United States and western countries, and prioritizing attacks on "corrupt" Muslim regimes in the area, diminishing western influences in the Middle East, and intervening in the Israeli-Palestinian and Israeli-Lebanese conflicts (including attacks on Jews the world over).
Should the current multinational presence (and that of the United States in particular) in Iraq and Afghanistan not continue, the organization could shift from defensive to offensive and harm many American and western interests in the Middle East, the Persian Gulf and even in the United States and Europe.

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